Monday, December 12, 2005

Prediction is hard

"Prediction is hard. Especially the future…" — Yogi Berra

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
Philip Tetlock
ISBN 0691123020

Sunday, December 11, 2005

Mission statement

Thoughts, like other waste by-products of human existence, need to be dumped from time to time. And lo, a convenient receptacle has been thoughtfully provided at no charge. Truly we are living in a golden age.

Thoughts will propagate with the speed and impact of neutrinos. My two cents, and worth every penny.